TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Ligue 1 soccer match between Paris FC and Stade Rennais, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Different thresholds define whether the market resolves positively for each potential decisive margin.
The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios in the Paris FC versus Stade Rennais Ligue 1 match scheduled for October 18, 2026. Resolution occurs if Paris FC wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, or if Stade Rennais wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals—all measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded from consideration. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. The combined thresholds create multiple pathways for market resolution based on the extent of either team's victory.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the event's likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means that the odds are constantly adjusting based on the latest information and sentiment. The goal is to create a market that accurately reflects the true probability of the event happening.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final score of the Paris FC vs Stade Rennais match, specifically whether Paris FC wins by more than 1.5 goals. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will determine the winning contracts. Traders will then be able to claim their payouts based on their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Paris FC or Stade Rennais could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, as could major tactical announcements from either team. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also impact trading volume and price movements. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market’s outlook.