TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored during a professional soccer match between Paris FC and Monaco. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams within the standard match duration.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both Paris FC and Monaco in their Ligue 1 match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, explicitly excluding goals from extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market corresponds to a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the actual total exceeds that threshold. The governing body’s official match result is the sole determinant, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved. All trademarks and branding belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a certain outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of that outcome will adjust accordingly, potentially offering value to informed bettors. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Paris FC vs Monaco match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices dynamically adjust, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out if the corresponding outcome occurs.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Paris FC vs Monaco match will be the determining factor. This includes goals scored during regulation time and any added time, but excludes penalty shootouts. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to view the final result and settlement details on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Paris FC or Monaco would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also impact expectations. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match analysis from respected football commentators could also shift the market. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi can quickly alter prices, particularly if they signal informed trading activity.