TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Sports
Paris FC vs Monaco: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Paris FC vs Monaco?

Volume:
$44,976

Paris FC wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Paris FC wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 1:11 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Paris FC wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,414
N/A
N/A
$8,062
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Paris FC wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,158
N/A
N/A
$6,814
Settled
No
kalshi

Monaco wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,878
N/A
N/A
$7,851
Settled
No
kalshi

Paris FC wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,219
N/A
N/A
$1,997
Settled
No
kalshi

Monaco wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,307
N/A
N/A
$1,304
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional Ligue 1 soccer match between Paris FC and Monaco, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The match must complete its full 90 minutes plus stoppage time to be valid.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Paris FC or Monaco wins the match originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: Paris FC winning by more than 2.5 goals, Paris FC winning by more than 1.5 goals, Monaco winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Monaco winning by more than 2.5 goals. If any of these conditions are met, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. The match must conclude within the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time or penalty shootouts do not count toward the resolution. All outcomes are evaluated exclusively on the final score after normal time, with no affiliation or endorsement implied between the platform and the governing league.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Paris FC vs Monaco match tracks the current price of the spread, the 24-hour trading volume, and a history of how the price has changed over time. Currently, volume is $23,789 and total volume to date is $28,569. This allows traders to see how the market is reacting to news and information related to the teams and the game. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders believe the spread will ultimately land, reflecting their collective predictions.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives from many traders. If sportsbook odds suggest a very different spread than what's currently priced in this market, it could indicate disagreement about the likely outcome or differing assessments of team form and potential game-day factors. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities than traditional odds.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Paris FC vs Monaco match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater expectation that the spread will fall in a particular range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective judgment of all participants, and traders can adjust their positions as new information becomes available. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread in the Paris FC vs Monaco match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game, as reported by official sports data providers. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the final price of the contracts they held, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. The final spread is the determining factor for payout.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Paris FC or Monaco would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or coaching changes could also move the market. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths or the likely game outcome has the potential to affect the price.