TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:13 PM EST
Kalshi
In the Ligue 1 encounter between Paris FC and Monaco, the emphasis will be on whether both teams can break through each other's defenses. The result depends solely on each team scoring at least once within the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
If Paris FC and Monaco both score a goal in the Paris FC vs Monaco Ligue 1 match originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sets, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Paris FC vs Monaco match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. Higher prices indicate a greater belief that both teams will score, while lower prices suggest the opposite. The current price represents the market's best estimate at this moment.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether both Paris FC and Monaco score at least one goal during the match. The official result of the match, as reported by a reputable sports data provider, will determine whether the 'Yes' or 'No' outcome is triggered. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Paris FC or Monaco would likely cause movement, as would updates on team form or tactical changes. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially affecting the likelihood of goals. Even significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in social media or sports news, could impact trading activity and therefore the price on Kalshi. Keep an eye on these signals as the match approaches.