TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Paris Basketball vs. Virtus Bologna
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Paris Basketball vs. Virtus Bologna?

Volume:
$464,747

Virtus Bologna

 - Kalshi

Virtus Bologna - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 14, 2026

Closed: Oct 14, 4:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Virtus Bologna

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$168,354
N/A
N/A
$88,508
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 179.5

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$391
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Paris Basketball

View
0%
61%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$179,006
N/A
N/A
$83,943
Settled
No
polymarket

Paris Basketball (-4.5)

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$116
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Paris Basketball vs. Virtus Bologna

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$116,880
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a Euroleague basketball game between Paris Basketball and Virtus Bologna. The markets resolve to either Paris Basketball winning or Virtus Bologna winning the game, with provisions for postponed or canceled games.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: A significant date discrepancy exists between the two platforms, potentially rendering the Kalshi market unresolvable as it references a future date.Hero tip: Avoid the Kalshi market until the date issue is resolved. Focus exclusively on Polymarket, but monitor for any changes to their stated game date.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the October 14, 2024 game. If Paris Basketball wins, the market resolves to "Paris Basketball". If Virtus Bologna wins, the market resolves to "Virtus Bologna".
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the game originally scheduled for October 14, 2026. A 'Yes' result means either Paris Basketball or Virtus Bologna wins.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for October 14 at 2:45PM ET: If the Paris Basketball win, the market will resolve to "Paris Basketball". If the Virtus Bologna win, the market will resolve to "Virtus Bologna". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If Paris Basketball wins the Virtus Bologna vs Paris Basketball men's professional EuroLeague basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 at 2:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Virtus Bologna wins the Virtus Bologna vs Paris Basketball men's professional EuroLeague basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 at 2:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Paris vs. Bologna game. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $464,747, with $400,507 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see how the market is pricing the probability of different results. Polymarket currently favors Paris Basketball, while Kalshi leans toward Virtus Bologna, reflecting differing opinions across the venues. This market provides a real-time view of predictions as they evolve.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, particularly in response to breaking news or late-developing insights about the Paris vs. Bologna game.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The differing prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Paris vs. Bologna game stem from several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform differs – currently Polymarket has a volume of $464,747 while Kalshi has a lower volume. These factors contribute to independent price formation, even though both markets address the same underlying question.