TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Paris Basketball vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Paris Basketball vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne?

Volume:
$704,492

ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne

 - Kalshi

ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 7, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 4:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$306,959
N/A
N/A
$152,204
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Paris Basketball

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$307,761
N/A
N/A
$165,364
Settled
No
polymarket

Paris Basketball vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne

View
0%
70%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$89,772
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Euroleague basketball game between Paris Basketball and ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne, resolving to which team wins. Currently, the consensus probability of Paris Basketball vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne winning is 10.0%. This aggregate reflects data from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution determined by the official results reported on https://www.euroleaguebasketball.net/euroleague/. Traders should pay close attention to the game scheduled for October 7, 2026, as discrepancies exist between platform listings regarding the event date and time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Kalshi market references a game scheduled for October 7, 2026, while Polymarket refers to a game scheduled for October 7, 2024. This represents a significant date discrepancy.Hero tip: Prioritize Polymarket as the likely correct source for the current game. Avoid Kalshi unless you are specifically trading on a future game in 2026.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winner of the game scheduled for October 7 at 2:45PM ET. "If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if Paris Basketball wins the game originally scheduled for Oct 7, 2026 at 2:45 PM EDT, or Yes if ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne wins the game originally scheduled for Oct 7, 2026 at 2:45 PM EDT.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for October 7 at 2:45PM ET: If the Paris Basketball win, the market will resolve to "Paris Basketball". If the ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne win, the market will resolve to "ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the winner of the ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs Paris Basketball men’s professional EuroLeague game scheduled for October 7, 2026, at 2:45 PM EDT. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within that 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. The outcome is determined exclusively by which team wins the match, with no additional performance metrics or tiebreaker conditions affecting the resolution.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. It's possible to find arbitrage opportunities by comparing the implied probabilities from this market to those offered by sportsbooks.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi on the Paris Basketball vs. ASVEL market can arise due to variations in trader demographics, market liquidity, and differing fee structures. Polymarket may attract a different class of traders than Kalshi, leading to distinct perspectives on the likely outcome. Furthermore, the volume of trading on each platform – currently $704,492 overall – impacts price discovery, and variations in trading volume can create temporary price imbalances. These differences reflect the independent price-setting mechanisms of each platform.