TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Vasco da Gama wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
Vasco da Gama wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 01d:23h:09m
$
Paranaense and Vasco da Gama will clash in a competitive Brasileiro Serie A encounter where the spread betting will hinge on which team can achieve a decisive victory. The outcome will depend on each team's ability to maintain control and capitalize on scoring opportunities.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The first two markets require Paranaense to win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, respectively, while the last two require Vasco da Gama to win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, respectively. If the specified condition is met, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likelihood of an outcome. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can trade in this market, driving the price towards what the crowd perceives as the true probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of information becomes public.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market is designed to be highly liquid, allowing traders to easily enter and exit positions. The current price represents the aggregated assessment of all participants, offering a unique perspective on the potential result.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama match, specifically the spread, will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and how it impacts their positions shortly after the event concludes. It's important to monitor the event's progress leading up to this date.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching decisions could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, public perception and media coverage leading up to the match can influence trading activity. As the match date approaches, any updates related to team performance or key player availability are likely to drive price movements in this market.