TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Paranaense vs Palmeiras: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Paranaense vs Palmeiras?

Volume:
$49,734

Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 8:30 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,123
N/A
N/A
$14,425
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Palmeiras wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,973
N/A
N/A
$9,028
Settled
No
kalshi

Paranaense wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,012
N/A
N/A
$4,575
Settled
No
kalshi

Palmeiras wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,170
N/A
N/A
$1,454
Settled
No
kalshi

Paranaense wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$456
N/A
N/A
$456
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Paranaense and Palmeiras, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time. Different thresholds define various possible outcomes based on the size of the winning margin.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the goal differential of the Paranaense vs Palmeiras professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Four distinct outcomes are defined by specific goal-margin thresholds: Paranaense winning by more than 2.5 goals, Paranaense winning by more than 1.5 goals, Palmeiras winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Palmeiras winning by more than 2.5 goals. Whichever condition is met first determines the resolving outcome. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Paranaense vs Palmeiras match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes changes over time, and monitor the total volume traded in this market, which currently stands at $49,734. The 24-hour volume is $44,467, indicating recent trading activity. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and potential shifts in expectations for the match's spread.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. It's common to see differences emerge, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the odds can reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers, potentially identifying opportunities for informed trading.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information, and the spread between the buy and sell prices indicates the cost of trading.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Paranaense vs Palmeiras match, as determined by official match results. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The exact payout amount will depend on the final price of the contract at resolution.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators could also cause the market to move. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, leading to price adjustments in this market.