TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 9:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves predicting whether a specific number of goals will be scored in a soccer match between Paranaense and Atletico Mineiro. The outcome depends on the total goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
The event resolves to Yes if the specified threshold of goals is surpassed in the Paranaense vs Atletico Mineiro professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for Oct 8, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The thresholds vary across markets, ranging from over 0.5 goals to over 5.5 goals. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from the goal count. All markets share the same secondary disclaimer regarding Kalshi's lack of affiliation with the governing league and the ownership of trademarks, logos, and brand names by their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though this market represents a distinct view of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, leading to dynamic price movements. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price can change rapidly based on new information or shifts in sentiment. The current price indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the likelihood of the total goals falling within the specified range.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Paranaense vs Atletico Mineiro match will be the determining factor. Official match statistics from a recognized sports data provider will be used to establish the final result. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on whether their prediction aligned with the actual total goals scored in the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Paranaense or Atletico Mineiro would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift sentiment. Additionally, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches, as well as pre-match analysis from reputable sources, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information.