TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Parana vs Guemes: Spread
kalshi

Parana vs Guemes: Spread

Volume:
$53,099

Parana wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Parana wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 5:03 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Parana wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$44,938
N/A
N/A
$43,563
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Parana wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,837
N/A
N/A
$2,058
Settled
No
kalshi

Parana wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,107
N/A
N/A
$3,107
Settled
No
kalshi

Guemes wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$904
N/A
N/A
$854
Settled
No
kalshi

Guemes wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$313
N/A
N/A
$313
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of an Argentine Nacional B soccer match between Parana and Guemes, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The contest is based solely on the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Parana or Guemes wins the match. Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: Parana winning by more than 2.5 goals, Parana winning by more than 1.5 goals, Guemes winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Guemes winning by more than 2.5 goals. The match result is determined after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. Only the final score from regular time counts toward resolving the event. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.