TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Parana vs Guemes
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What is the result of Parana vs Guemes?

Volume:
$60,232

Parana

 - Kalshi

Parana - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 5:00 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Parana

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,224
N/A
N/A
$10,834
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Guemes

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,936
N/A
N/A
$25,306
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,072
N/A
N/A
$10,778
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Parana and Guemes in the Argentine Nacional B league. Bettors can speculate on whether Parana, Guemes, or a tied result will occur by the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The resolution depends solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time on the scheduled date.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Parana vs Guemes professional Argentine Nacional B soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for the Parana market occurs if Parana wins the match within regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' for Guemes occurs if Guemes secures a victory within the same timeframe. If the match concludes in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The markets exclusively consider the result after regular time, with no account for extended play or penalty decisions.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Parana vs Guemes match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the perceived probability of different outcomes fluctuates in real-time. Currently, the total volume traded on this market is $60,232, with $57,307 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a visual representation of market sentiment, allowing you to understand where other traders are placing their predictions for this sporting event. This information can be valuable for anyone looking to analyze the potential outcome.

Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective prediction of informed traders. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, and can sometimes diverge from sportsbook lines due to differing information or analytical approaches. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when unique or less-publicized information comes into play, influencing the perceptions of traders in this market.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Parana vs Guemes match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome occurs.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Parana vs Guemes match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on this official data. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective evidence.

Several signals could influence this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Updates on team performance in recent matches, coaching strategies, or even public statements from key players could also impact the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate new information or a change in perceived probabilities, causing a noticeable movement in the market. Monitoring these factors can help you understand potential shifts in the market’s outlook.