TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Parana and Guemes in the Argentine Nacional B league. Bettors can speculate on whether Parana, Guemes, or a tied result will occur by the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The resolution depends solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time on the scheduled date.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Parana vs Guemes professional Argentine Nacional B soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for the Parana market occurs if Parana wins the match within regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' for Guemes occurs if Guemes secures a victory within the same timeframe. If the match concludes in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The markets exclusively consider the result after regular time, with no account for extended play or penalty decisions.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective prediction of informed traders. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, and can sometimes diverge from sportsbook lines due to differing information or analytical approaches. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when unique or less-publicized information comes into play, influencing the perceptions of traders in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Parana vs Guemes match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome occurs.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Parana vs Guemes match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on this official data. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective evidence.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Updates on team performance in recent matches, coaching strategies, or even public statements from key players could also impact the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate new information or a change in perceived probabilities, causing a noticeable movement in the market. Monitoring these factors can help you understand potential shifts in the market’s outlook.