TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 5:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Parahailo Yurii and Novak Ruslan in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 26 at 3:05AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Parahailo Yurii' if Parahailo Yurii wins against Novak Ruslan. This market will resolve to 'Novak Ruslan' if Novak Ruslan wins against Parahailo Yurii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Parahailo Yurii and Novak Ruslan in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 26 at 3:05AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Parahailo Yurii' if Parahailo Yurii wins against Novak Ruslan. This market will resolve to 'Novak Ruslan' if Novak Ruslan wins against Parahailo Yurii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it could indicate disagreement about the true probabilities or differing levels of information incorporated into each price. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. This creates a dynamic pricing system that attempts to accurately represent the likelihood of each possible result in the Parahailo vs. Ruslan match. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Parahailo vs. Ruslan match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning shares. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in public perception could cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information entering the market and cause a shift in the odds. Monitoring these signals is crucial for understanding how this market might evolve leading up to Nov 2, 2026.