TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in the Greece Super League. The contest will determine whether one of the competing teams secures a victory or if the game concludes without a clear winner. Results are evaluated strictly after the regulation period, excluding any extended play or penalty shootouts.
If PAOK wins the PAOK vs POT Iraklis professional Greece Super League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If POT Iraklis wins the PAOK vs POT Iraklis professional Greece Super League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the PAOK vs POT Iraklis professional Greece Super League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully accounted for by sportsbooks, such as subtle team news or expert analysis. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi and sportsbook lines tend to converge, reflecting a shared understanding of the likely outcome. It’s a useful exercise to compare the two to identify potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth – the number of buy and sell orders at various price points – indicates the level of agreement among traders. Higher volume generally suggests greater confidence in the current price.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the PAOK vs Iraklis match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body, taking into account any potential overtime or tie-breaking procedures. The platform will then determine the winning contracts and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either PAOK or Iraklis would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or internal team issues could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large volume of trades in one direction – can itself drive price changes on Kalshi, as traders react to perceived information advantages.