TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 12:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Kalamata will win the PAOK vs Kalamata professional Greece Super League soccer game. Currently, Kalshi gives Kalamata a 95.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 4.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result of the game, according to the resolution source. Keep a close watch on October 12, 2026, as this is the scheduled date for the match and the end of the betting period for this market.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the PAOK vs Kalamata professional Greece Super League soccer match scheduled for October 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If PAOK wins, the 'PAOK' market resolves to Yes; if Kalamata wins, the 'Kalamata' market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform's guidelines. The platform explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately forecast the actual outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both markets. It’s useful to compare the two to identify potential value.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the PAOK vs Kalamata match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome—a win for PAOK, a win for Kalamata, or a draw—actually occurred. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, tactical changes, or even weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable, or a significant change in team performance in preceding matches, would likely cause price fluctuations. Public sentiment and media coverage can also play a role, as can large trading volumes from informed participants. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market.