TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 1:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional EuroCup basketball game between PAOK BC and AS Monaco, scheduled for October 6, 2026. The resolution depends on which team secures a victory in the match. If either team wins, the corresponding market will resolve accordingly, reflecting the competitive performance of the teams on the court.
The event resolves based on the winner of the PAOK BC vs AS Monaco men’s professional EuroCup basketball game scheduled for October 6, 2026, at 1:30 PM EDT. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market’s odds are determined by actual trading activity. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Kalshi, potentially causing the prediction market odds to diverge. It’s common to see differences, especially as new information becomes available and public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the PAOK BC vs AS Monaco game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market, constantly updating as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the PAOK BC vs AS Monaco game, as reported by official sources. The market will determine which outcome – a win for PAOK BC or AS Monaco – is the correct one based on the final score and official game results. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching strategies could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about team performance or changes in game location could also cause shifts in trading activity. Furthermore, general public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators can influence trader behavior, leading to price fluctuations as people react to new information and adjust their predictions.