TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Panathinaikos wins by more than 2.5 goals
- Kalshi
Panathinaikos wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 03d:02h:46m
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This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Panathinaikos and CSKA Sofia, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold within regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The event provides multiple scenarios based on different goal margins for each team.
The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios for the Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia Conference League soccer match scheduled for November 5, 2026. Resolution occurs solely during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: Panathinaikos winning by more than 2.5 goals, Panathinaikos winning by more than 1.5 goals, CSKA Sofia winning by more than 1.5 goals, and CSKA Sofia winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any market resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified team satisfies its corresponding margin requirement; otherwise, it resolves 'No'. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all referenced trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information aggregation. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of perspectives. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those found here, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, as the event approaches, these odds often converge as more information is factored in by both groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the potential results of the Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia match.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia match, specifically the spread as determined by official game statistics. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on whether their prediction aligned with the actual result. The market’s outcome will be determined by the official result published by the governing sports body.
Several factors could influence this market before Nov 6, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Panathinaikos or CSKA Sofia would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any news regarding weather conditions or referee assignments could introduce uncertainty and lead to price adjustments. Major tactical announcements from either team’s coach could also move the market as traders react to potential strategic advantages.