TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:42 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Panathinaikos Athens and Asteras Tripolis, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Panathinaikos Athens" if Panathinaikos Athens are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Asteras Tripolis" if Asteras Tripolis are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Panathinaikos Athens and Asteras Tripolis, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Panathinaikos Athens" if Panathinaikos Athens are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Asteras Tripolis" if Asteras Tripolis are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim for a more direct representation of probability. It's common to see this market’s probabilities diverge from initial sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges and more traders participate. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into public perception and potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and evolving expectations regarding which team will score first in the match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on identifying which team – Panathinaikos Athens or Asteras Tripolis – scores the first goal in the match. The result will be determined by official match data and verified against credible public sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the game and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in starting lineups would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected weather conditions or tactical adjustments announced by either manager could also shift expectations. Furthermore, general sentiment shifts based on pre-match analysis and expert predictions could drive trading activity. Finally, even in-game events during the early stages of the match, such as near misses or strong defensive plays, could cause fluctuations in the market price.