TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in the Greece Super League. Bettors can speculate on whether one team will secure a victory or if the game will end in a draw within regular time. The resolution depends solely on the match result as it stands after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Panaitolikos vs Olympiacos professional Greece Super League soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match within regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and does not account for extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation proceedings.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If there’s a significant difference, it could indicate that prediction market participants have access to information or insights not fully priced into sportsbook lines, or simply hold different beliefs about the probabilities involved.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities as the event approaches. The current volume indicates the level of interest and confidence in each possible result.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Panaitolikos vs Olympiacos match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any factors that might influence the final result.
Several factors could significantly shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments announced by either Panaitolikos or Olympiacos could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant news related to the teams’ recent performance, could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations and move this market considerably before Oct 18, 2026.