TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yulia Starodubtseva and Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the Pan Pacific Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yulia Starodubtseva' if Yulia Starodubtseva advances against Aliaksandra Sasnovich. This market will resolve to 'Aliaksandra Sasnovich' if Aliaksandra Sasnovich advances against Yulia Starodubtseva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yulia Starodubtseva and Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the Pan Pacific Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yulia Starodubtseva' if Yulia Starodubtseva advances against Aliaksandra Sasnovich. This market will resolve to 'Aliaksandra Sasnovich' if Aliaksandra Sasnovich advances against Yulia Starodubtseva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a similar assessment to those found at sportsbooks, though discrepancies can emerge due to differing levels of information and market participants. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If there's a significant difference, it could indicate that prediction market participants have access to information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook odds, or simply a different interpretation of the available data. It's a useful exercise to compare the two to gauge overall expectations.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of Yulia Starodubtseva winning, as perceived by the market. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is driven entirely by supply and demand; if more people believe Starodubtseva will win, the price of shares increases, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the Yulia Starodubtseva versus Aliaksandra Sasnovich match in the Pan Pacific Open qualification is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official match result as recorded by the tournament organizers. This ensures a clear and objective resolution based on the actual event outcome, providing transparency for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. For example, reports of an injury to Sasnovich would likely increase the probability of Starodubtseva winning, causing the price of shares representing that outcome to rise. Similarly, strong performance by either player in a preceding match could also impact the market. General tennis news and analysis could also play a role in shaping traders’ beliefs.