TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Palmeiras and Vasco da Gama. Bettors speculate on whether the combined goals from both teams will exceed various thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple outcome thresholds for total goals scored in the Palmeiras versus Vasco da Gama Copa do Brasil match scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each threshold—ranging from over 0.5 goals to over 5.5 goals—is assessed independently to determine if the combined goals from both teams exceed that specific line. All resolutions are based exclusively on the score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. The markets operate independently, meaning the result for one threshold does not influence another. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply the diverse perspectives of those trading in the prediction market. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored in the official match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official match result and any applicable tie-breaking rules as defined by the governing football association. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the outcome is verified.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Palmeiras or Vasco da Gama could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play or scoring opportunities, could also move the market. Additionally, any significant tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, or updates on team form and recent performance, could lead to changes in the probabilities assessed by traders on Kalshi.