TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 03d:00h:29m
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These markets determine whether Palmeiras or Remo achieves a victory by a specified margin of goals during the same match, considering only the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The markets resolve based on the goal differential if Palmeiras or Remo wins the professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Markets specifying that Palmeiras must win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals resolve to Yes if Palmeiras's victory margin exceeds these thresholds. Similarly, markets requiring Remo to win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals resolve to Yes if Remo's victory margin surpasses these thresholds. Kalshi emphasizes no official connection with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks may set initial lines to attract action, while this market allows traders to continuously adjust probabilities based on new information and collective insight. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when there's considerable uncertainty surrounding the outcome. Examining these differences can reveal where the market believes sportsbooks may be mispricing the probability of a particular result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The most active outcome currently has a chance percentage of 45.0%, indicating strong trader interest in that particular result. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market that adapts to new information as it becomes available.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Palmeiras vs Remo match, specifically the spread as defined by the market. Traders will be able to see the official result and how it corresponds to their positions. The platform will then automatically settle all outstanding contracts based on the verified outcome, ensuring a transparent and reliable process for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market leading up to Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift expectations. Additionally, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or breaking news, could also impact trading activity. Even the release of updated statistics or performance data could cause traders to reassess their positions, leading to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential opportunities.