TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 6:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Palmeiras and Corinthians. Bettors assess whether the combined goals from both teams will exceed specific thresholds. The outcome depends purely on the match's final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple outcome thresholds for the total goals scored in the Palmeiras vs Corinthians Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each threshold—ranging from over 0.5 goals to over 5.5 goals—is assessed independently to determine if the combined goals from both teams exceed that specific line. All resolutions are based solely on the match's result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time, penalty phases, or other post-regulation proceedings. The markets operate independently, meaning each threshold resolves true (Yes) or false (No) based on its own criteria without affecting the others. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and participant analysis than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. As a result, you may find that prediction market prices offer a different perspective on the probability of various goal totals compared to those offered by sportsbooks, potentially identifying discrepancies in perceived value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, the total number of goals scored in the Palmeiras vs Corinthians match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis, news, and perceived value, creating a dynamic price discovery process. The more traders believe a specific goal total is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Palmeiras vs Corinthians match, as officially recorded by the relevant sporting authority, will determine the winning contract. Any goals scored during regular play, including stoppage time, will be counted towards the final total. The resolution will be based on the official match result, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift prices in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Palmeiras or Corinthians would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain, could also affect the expected goal total. Additionally, any significant tactical adjustments announced by either team's manager, or unexpected lineup changes, could lead to traders reassessing their predictions and adjusting their positions, causing movement in the price of contracts within this market.