TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Palmeiras vs Bragantino: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Palmeiras vs Bragantino?

Volume:
$40,563

Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 7:37 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$27,328
N/A
N/A
$13,103
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Palmeiras wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,343
N/A
N/A
$4,646
Settled
No
kalshi

Bragantino wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,172
N/A
N/A
$3,765
Settled
No
kalshi

Bragantino wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,307
N/A
N/A
$1,307
Settled
No
kalshi

Palmeiras wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$413
N/A
N/A
$413
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market assesses potential score margins in an upcoming Brazilian Serie A soccer match between Palmeiras and Bragantino. It focuses on determining whether either team secures a decisive victory by exceeding specific goal differentials. Outcomes hinge solely on regular-time results, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event evaluates various goal-differential thresholds for determining a conclusive victory in the Palmeiras versus Bragantino match scheduled for October 24, 2026. Four distinct primary rules define different margin requirements for resolution: Palmeiras winning by more than 2.5 goals, Palmeiras winning by more than 1.5 goals, Bragantino winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Bragantino winning by more than 2.5 goals. All assessments are based exclusively on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. The market resolves to 'Yes' for any outcome meeting one of these margin conditions. Secondary disclaimers clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all displayed trademarks remain property of their respective rights holders.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Palmeiras vs Bragantino match tracks the current price of the spread, reflecting what traders are willing to pay to bet on either side. You can see a price history chart to understand how the market has moved over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $37,629. Total volume for this market is $40,563. This allows you to gauge the level of interest and activity surrounding this particular contest.

Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to set lines that balance action on both sides and ensure a profit margin, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially offering more accurate probabilities than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges and influences traders’ views on this market.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final spread in the Palmeiras vs Bragantino match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, leading to a dynamic price discovery process. The current price indicates the market's collective assessment of the likelihood of each team covering the spread.

This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Palmeiras vs Bragantino match as reported by official sources. It’s important to note that the official result, as determined by these sources, will be the basis for determining winning and losing contracts in this market. Traders should monitor official announcements to understand the final outcome.

Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Palmeiras or Bragantino would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes in coaching strategies could also cause fluctuations. Monitoring these types of developments is crucial for anyone looking to trade this market.