TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Palmeiras vs Bahia
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What is the result of Palmeiras vs Bahia?

Volume:
$773,198

Palmeiras

 - Kalshi

Palmeiras - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 8, 10:24 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Palmeiras

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$277,587
N/A
N/A
$183,797
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bahia

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$321,659
N/A
N/A
$219,994
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$173,953
N/A
N/A
$132,651
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

Two Brazilian football clubs, Palmeiras and Bahia, compete in a high-stakes match that could influence their season standings. The outcome determines whether either team secures a victory in a crucial league encounter.

Kalshi

This event involves three possible outcomes for the Palmeiras vs Bahia professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 8, 2026: Palmeiras win, Bahia win, or a tie, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market resolves to Yes if its specific outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price following predefined procedures. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Palmeiras vs Bahia match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time, giving you a sense of market sentiment. Currently, the total volume for this market is $773,198, with $701,663 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides insight into how actively traders are engaging with the market and their expectations for the match’s result. The dashboard is a central hub for monitoring all activity related to this event.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders to find value, as the market adjusts to new data and insights regarding the Palmeiras vs Bahia match.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Palmeiras vs Bahia match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to set accurate probabilities, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher its price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the latest information and collective intelligence.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Palmeiras vs Bahia match, as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment. This process ensures a fair and reliable resolution for all participants.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 9, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift the perceived probabilities of different outcomes. Major tactical announcements from either team’s coach could also impact the market. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the Palmeiras vs Bahia match can play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential market movements.