TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Pallacanestro Varese vs. Pallacanestro Trieste
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Pallacanestro Varese vs. Pallacanestro Trieste?

Volume:
$46,097

Pallacanestro Varese vs. Pallacanestro Trieste

 - Polymarket

Pallacanestro Varese vs. Pallacanestro Trieste - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 8:28 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Pallacanestro Varese vs. Pallacanestro Trieste

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,260
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Pallacanestro Varese

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,465
N/A
N/A
$17,273
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Pallacanestro Varese (-6.5)

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Pallacanestro Trieste 2004

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,809
N/A
N/A
$8,406
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 171.5

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$508
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This group resolves based on the outcome of a Serie A basketball game between Pallacanestro Varese and Pallacanestro Trieste. The market determines which team wins the game, with a 50-50 split if the game is canceled without a reschedule.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Kalshi market refers to a game scheduled for October 10, 2026, while Polymarket references a game scheduled for October 10 of the current year.Hero tip: Avoid trading the Kalshi market unless you specifically intend to predict the outcome of the 2026 game. Focus on Polymarket for the near-term game.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the outcome of the game scheduled for October 10, 2024. "In the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for October 10 at 2:30PM ET..."
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the outcome of the game scheduled for October 10, 2026. "If Pallacanestro Varese wins the Pallacanestro Trieste 2004 vs Pallacanestro Varese men's professional Italy Serie A basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 at 2:30 PM EDT..."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for October 10 at 2:30PM ET: If the Pallacanestro Varese win, the market will resolve to "Pallacanestro Varese". If the Pallacanestro Trieste win, the market will resolve to "Pallacanestro Trieste". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the winner of the men's professional Italy Serie A basketball game between Pallacanestro Trieste 2004 and Pallacanestro Varese, scheduled for October 10, 2026, at 2:30 PM EDT. If Pallacanestro Varese wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Pallacanestro Trieste 2004 wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is canceled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes in the Italian basketball matchup between Pallacanestro Varese and Pallacanestro Trieste. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong likelihood of one team winning, with a combined volume of $46,097. This allows traders to assess market sentiment and potentially capitalize on discrepancies between the two venues. The dashboard aggregates data from both platforms to provide a comprehensive overview of the market for this matchup, giving a broader perspective than either platform alone.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals wagering their own capital. This can lead to differences, particularly when public opinion diverges from expert predictions. It's possible to find value by comparing the implied probabilities from both sources, seeking discrepancies that suggest mispricing in either the prediction market or the sportsbook for this event.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market-specific factors. Polymarket currently favors Pallacanestro Varese at a chance of 97, while Kalshi leans toward Pallacanestro Varese wins. These differences can arise from varying levels of information available to traders on each platform, or simply from differing risk appetites. Furthermore, the liquidity – or volume – on each platform can influence price discovery, with higher volume generally leading to more stable and accurate odds. This market’s prices will continue to evolve as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.