TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 11:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Michele Ribecai and Jonas Forejtek in the Palermo, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michele Ribecai' if Michele Ribecai advances against Jonas Forejtek. This market will resolve to 'Jonas Forejtek' if Jonas Forejtek advances against Michele Ribecai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Michele Ribecai and Jonas Forejtek in the Palermo, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michele Ribecai' if Michele Ribecai advances against Jonas Forejtek. This market will resolve to 'Jonas Forejtek' if Jonas Forejtek advances against Michele Ribecai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk assessments, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the available data. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information or changing circumstances than sportsbooks, potentially leading to odds adjustments that differ from those found elsewhere.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the match's potential results. The current price indicates the market's collective expectation for the outcome of the Ribecai vs Forejtek match.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Palermo match between Michele Ribecai and Jonas Forejtek, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how this market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Oct 16, 2026 resolution date. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or updates on player form could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player could also shift expectations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a change in perceived probabilities, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing trading activity will be key to understanding potential price movements.