TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 2:58 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jonas Forejtek and Alejandro Moro Canas in the Palermo, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jonas Forejtek' if Jonas Forejtek advances against Alejandro Moro Canas. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Moro Canas' if Alejandro Moro Canas advances against Jonas Forejtek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jonas Forejtek and Alejandro Moro Canas in the Palermo, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jonas Forejtek' if Jonas Forejtek advances against Alejandro Moro Canas. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Moro Canas' if Alejandro Moro Canas advances against Jonas Forejtek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Forejtek vs Moro Canas match, they can express that view by trading on Polymarket. This can lead to odds discrepancies, as the market attempts to find a consensus view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome in the Forejtek vs Moro Canas match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Forejtek vs Moro Canas match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will then determine the winning share(s) and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result to understand how this market will settle, as the platform relies on publicly available information to determine the outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 17, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could all impact the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also lead traders to reassess their predictions. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Forejtek vs Moro Canas match is likely to cause movement in the market.