TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 7:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the total games played in the Jay Clarke versus Gabriele Piraino tennis match in Palermo will exceed 21.5. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Clarke vs. Piraino: Match O/U 21.5”. Resolution will be based on the official score reported at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the match itself, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET, as the outcome will be determined by the total games played during that fixture.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jay Clarke and Gabriele Piraino in the Palermo, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jay Clarke' if Jay Clarke advances against Gabriele Piraino. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Piraino' if Gabriele Piraino advances against Jay Clarke. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price is determined by the forces of supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the market's expectations for the Clarke vs Piraino match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Clarke vs Piraino match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand the potential implications for this market.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market before resolution. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Jay Clarke or Gabriele Piraino, such as an injury announcement, would likely cause significant shifts. Updates on playing surface conditions or weather forecasts at the tournament location could also affect the odds. Furthermore, unexpected results in other matches involving these players or their potential opponents might lead traders to reassess their predictions, impacting the volume of $716,440 and the implied probabilities in this market.