TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 1:58 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Palermo FC and Carrarese Calcio, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Palermo FC" if Palermo FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Carrarese Calcio" if Carrarese Calcio are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Palermo FC and Carrarese Calcio, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Palermo FC" if Palermo FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Carrarese Calcio" if Carrarese Calcio are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, the odds here will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Examining these differences can reveal valuable insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular team scoring first, the price of those shares increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available, reflecting the collective intelligence of the participants. This dynamic pricing ensures the odds are constantly updated.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, Palermo FC or Carrarese Calcio, scored the first goal in the match. Official match reports and sources will be used to verify the result. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the match, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, injuries to key players, or changes in coaching strategies could shift expectations. Weather conditions on match day, and even pre-game analysis from sports commentators, can also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected events during the match itself, such as early red cards or penalties, would also likely cause significant movement. Monitoring these signals and their potential impact on the game is crucial for understanding how this market might evolve before it resolves.