TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 7:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Cocola/Rapagnetta and Bianchi/Pearson in the Palermo, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cocola/Rapagnetta' if the team of Cocola/Rapagnetta advances against Bianchi/Pearson. This market will resolve to 'Bianchi/Pearson' if the team of Bianchi/Pearson advances against Cocola/Rapagnetta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Cocola/Rapagnetta and Bianchi/Pearson in the Palermo, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cocola/Rapagnetta' if the team of Cocola/Rapagnetta advances against Bianchi/Pearson. This market will resolve to 'Bianchi/Pearson' if the team of Bianchi/Pearson advances against Cocola/Rapagnetta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from traders. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it may indicate differing beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast event outcomes, especially when there's substantial public interest and trading activity.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The market's efficiency relies on active participation and informed trading by users.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Palermo doubles match between Cocola/Rapagnetta and Bianchi/Pearson. The winning team as determined by the official tournament organizers will be the basis for determining the winning outcome in this market. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated performance statistics for either team could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed traders or large positions being taken could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves leading up to Oct 13, 2026.