TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 11:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Barry/Marcos and Ovcharenko/Wehnelt in the Palermo, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Barry/Marcos' if the team of Barry/Marcos advances against Ovcharenko/Wehnelt. This market will resolve to 'Ovcharenko/Wehnelt' if the team of Ovcharenko/Wehnelt advances against Barry/Marcos. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Barry/Marcos and Ovcharenko/Wehnelt in the Palermo, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Barry/Marcos' if the team of Barry/Marcos advances against Ovcharenko/Wehnelt. This market will resolve to 'Ovcharenko/Wehnelt' if the team of Ovcharenko/Wehnelt advances against Barry/Marcos. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and ensure profitability, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of expertise, access to information, or simply differing opinions about the probabilities of each outcome. It’s common to see this market and sportsbook odds converge as the event approaches and more information becomes available, but significant differences can sometimes present opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. The market depth—the number of shares available at different price points—indicates the strength of conviction behind each potential result in the Palermo doubles match.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Palermo doubles match, determining which team—Barry/Marcos or Ovcharenko/Wehnelt—wins. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the winning team will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated performance statistics for either team could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the Palermo doubles match might also impact confidence in the favored team. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in sentiment, potentially signaling new information or a change in perceived probabilities. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential market movements before Oct 15, 2026.