TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 6:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Buvaysar Gadamauri and Pedro Vives Marcos in the Palermo, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Buvaysar Gadamauri' if Buvaysar Gadamauri advances against Pedro Vives Marcos. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Vives Marcos' if Pedro Vives Marcos advances against Buvaysar Gadamauri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Buvaysar Gadamauri and Pedro Vives Marcos in the Palermo, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Buvaysar Gadamauri' if Buvaysar Gadamauri advances against Pedro Vives Marcos. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Vives Marcos' if Pedro Vives Marcos advances against Buvaysar Gadamauri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated an ability to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert forecasts, though this is not always the case. It's important to consider that sportsbooks and this market serve different purposes and attract different types of participants, leading to potential discrepancies in pricing.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the evolving sentiment of the participants. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing expectations regarding the Gadamauri vs Vives Marcos match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Palermo match between Buvaysar Gadamauri and Pedro Vives Marcos, as reported by a recognized sports news source. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress leading up to this date.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Buvaysar Gadamauri or Pedro Vives Marcos, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in their recent performance or tactical adjustments could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match, like venue changes or rule modifications, might also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from influential participants on Polymarket could trigger short-term price movements as traders react to perceived advantages or disadvantages.