TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 11:48 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether over 1.5 goals will be scored in the Pakhtakor versus Al Qadsiah AFC Champions League soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 1.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the total goals scored in 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by official match data. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for October 12, 2026, as the final whistle will determine whether the 1.5 goal threshold is surpassed and settle this market.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Pakhtakor vs Al Qadsiah professional AFC Champions League soccer game scheduled for October 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market has a different threshold for resolution: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual total goals exceed the specified threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the prediction market prices tend to adjust rapidly, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of the true probability of various outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as the market absorbs new data and refines its assessment of the likely result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total goals scored in the Pakhtakor vs Al Qadsiah match. The price of each contract indicates the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As traders exchange contracts, the prices fluctuate based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective judgment of the participants. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new information and evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Pakhtakor vs Al Qadsiah match will be used to determine the total goals scored. The market will settle based on the official result as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Pakhtakor or Al Qadsiah would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, any significant tactical announcements from either team’s manager, or late-breaking news about team formations, could prompt traders to adjust their positions. Unexpected events during the match itself, such as early red cards, will also impact the prices.