TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Pakhtakor vs. Al Qadsiah
polymarket
predict
kalshi

What is the result of Pakhtakor vs. Al Qadsiah?

Volume:
$1,006,075

Tie

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 11:50 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$191,916
N/A
N/A
$88,612
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Pakhtakor vs. Al Qadsiah)

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29,944
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

View
99%
77%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$28,487
$31,074
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

QAD

View
1%
61%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$60
$31,361
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Al Qadsiah

View
0%
60%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$408,571
N/A
N/A
$150,771
Settled
No
polymarket

Al Qadsiah

View
0%
61%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76,191
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

PAK

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$260
$10,150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Pakhtakor

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$210,312
N/A
N/A
$88,390
Settled
No
polymarket

Pakhtakor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,558
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of a draw in the upcoming soccer match between Pakhtakor and Al Qadsiah, part of the AFC Champions League. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 99.0%, as aggregated from Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi. Resolution will be based on official match statistics, with potential fallback sources including Flashscore and Sofascore, as defined by the event organizers. Keep an eye on October 12, 2026, as that is the date of the match and the end of the betting period for this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Minor divergence in cancellation resolution, with Polymarket and Predict resolving to 'No' while Kalshi also resolves to 'No'.Hero tip: All platforms agree on cancellation resolution. Focus on understanding the rules for postponements, which may vary.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: If Pakhtakor wins, the market resolves to Yes. If Al Qadsiah wins, the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result, the market resolves to Yes.
  • Polymarket: If Pakhtakor wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
  • Predict: If Pakhtakor wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming AFC Champions League Elite game, scheduled for Monday, October 12, 2026 between Pakhtakor and Al Qadsiah.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Pakhtakor vs Al Qadsiah professional AFC Champions League soccer game scheduled for October 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Pakhtakor win, Al Qadsiah win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a win for either team within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. The operator, Kalshi, is unrelated to the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming AFC Champions League Elite game, scheduled for Monday, October 12, 2026 between Pakhtakor and Al Qadsiah.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from balanced betting, while prediction markets incentivize accurate predictions. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when significant information isn't yet widely reflected in sportsbook lines. The implied probabilities from both sources should be considered when evaluating the potential outcome of the Pakhtakor vs. Al Qadsiah match.

Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can arise from several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, which can influence how quickly information is incorporated into prices. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, differing liquidity levels on each platform can lead to price discrepancies. For example, if there is significantly more trading volume on Polymarket, its price may be more responsive to new information than Kalshi’s. Market-specific factors, such as varying interpretations of team news or form, can also contribute to these price differences.