TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 2:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Pafos and Riga FC. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the match outcomes exceed that threshold. The resolution depends solely on the official match result after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored during the Pafos vs Riga FC professional Conference League soccer match scheduled for October 22, 2026, counting only goals scored within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are explicitly excluded from all calculations. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 0.5 to 5.5 goals), and resolves to 'Yes' if the actual total goals exceed that threshold. All markets share the same underlying event — the official match result — and are resolved simultaneously based on the same goal count. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Pafos vs Riga FC match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, the total goals scored in the Pafos vs Riga FC match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the true probability. The current price indicates the cost to buy a contract that pays out if the corresponding outcome occurs.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored in the Pafos vs Riga FC match, as officially recorded by the league, will determine the winning outcome. Any goals scored during regulation time or added time will be counted, but extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered. The final result will be sourced from official match data to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 22, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Pafos or Riga FC would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected number of goals. Furthermore, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts predicting a high or low-scoring game could sway trader sentiment and affect the price of this market.