TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 2:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This group of markets assesses the winning margin in a soccer match between Pafos and Riga FC. Each market resolves depending on whether Pafos or Riga FC secures a victory with a goal difference surpassing specified levels during regular time.
Markets resolve based on the goal differential if Pafos or Riga FC wins the professional Conference League soccer match scheduled for Oct 22, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Pafos wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or if Riga FC wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Pafos vs Riga FC match, specifically the final spread. The platform will then determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, tactical changes, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment and impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable or changes in coaching staff could also cause significant movement. Additionally, large volume trades from informed participants could signal new information or a change in outlook, potentially driving price fluctuations in this market.