TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 4:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Serie B soccer match between Padova and Sudtirol Bolzano. The result will be determined based on the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will reflect whether Padova wins, Sudtirol Bolzano wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Padova vs Sudtirol Bolzano professional Serie B soccer match scheduled for October 27, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for each respective market occurs if the named team wins the match within regular time, or if the match concludes in a tie for the Tie market. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The resolution excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result after regular playing time including stoppage time.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates opinions from individuals with varying levels of knowledge and insight. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the odds can reveal whether the crowd believes a different outcome is more likely than implied by traditional betting venues, offering a unique perspective on the potential result of the Padova vs Sudtirol match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand – if many traders believe Padova will win, they will buy contracts predicting that outcome, driving up the price. Conversely, if sentiment shifts towards Sudtirol, their contracts will see increased buying pressure and a corresponding price increase.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Padova vs Sudtirol match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual game result. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Padova or Sudtirol would likely cause significant price movements. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key personnel or coaching changes could also shift expectations. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning is likely to be reflected in the market price, creating opportunities for informed traders to capitalize on new developments leading up to Oct 27, 2026.