TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 2:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between Paderborn and Stuttgart. Bettors can speculate on whether the combined goals from both teams will exceed various thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
The event determines whether the total goals scored by both Paderborn and Stuttgart in their DFB Pokal match scheduled for October 28, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. All markets resolve based on goals scored within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, with explicit exclusion of goals from extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market corresponds to a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), where exceeding that threshold results in a 'Yes' resolution. The markets operate independently, allowing for varied betting outcomes depending on the final score. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If a significant discrepancy exists, opportunities may arise for arbitrage, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Paderborn vs Stuttgart match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations. The market’s depth, indicated by the volume of contracts available at different price points, also influences price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Paderborn vs Stuttgart match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The contract corresponding to the correct total goals outcome will pay out $1.00, while all other contracts will expire worthless. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the market’s resolution.
Several factors could influence the Paderborn vs Stuttgart goals market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about team formations or tactical approaches could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, as the match approaches, any public statements from coaches or players that suggest a particular offensive or defensive strategy might move this market.