TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:24 AM EST
Kalshi
Paderborn and Stuttgart will compete, and the total goals scored during the match will be tallied. The result depends on whether this tally exceeds multiple benchmarks set for different markets.
For the Paderborn vs Stuttgart professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, each market resolves to Yes if the specified number of goals (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5) are scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Kalshi states it is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market's prices are determined by the collective predictions of individual traders. While sportsbooks may initially incorporate public perception, they also factor in profit margins and perceived biases. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Paderborn vs Stuttgart match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, various total goal ranges for the Paderborn vs Stuttgart game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the match’s final score. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if the total goals fall within a specific range.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result – the total number of goals scored in the Paderborn vs Stuttgart match – will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all traders. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will be included in the total goal count for the purposes of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Key team news, such as injuries or suspensions to star players for either Paderborn or Stuttgart, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, which could affect the style of play and scoring opportunities, are also relevant. Unexpected announcements regarding team tactics or formations could also shift expectations. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by pre-match analysis or betting trends, could impact trading activity and prices.