TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 2:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional DFB Pokal soccer match between Paderborn and Stuttgart. Bettors can speculate on whether Paderborn will win, Stuttgart will win, or if the game will end in a tie within regular time. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Paderborn vs Stuttgart DFB Pokal match scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Paderborn or Stuttgart occurs only if that team secures a victory within regular time; a tied score resolves the 'Tie' market as 'Yes.' If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will be resolved at a fair price as determined by the platform. No outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts affect these markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. As a result, prediction market prices can sometimes be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It’s common to see convergence between the two as the event draws nearer, but discrepancies can still present opportunities.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Paderborn vs Stuttgart match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The market will settle to 100 for the winning outcome, and 0 for all others. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand when and how this market will be settled, ensuring they are aware of the confirmed result before the resolution date.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Paderborn or Stuttgart would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also shift the market. Furthermore, weather conditions on the day of the match, and even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators, can all influence trader sentiment and impact the prices within this market. Major tactical announcements from either team’s manager could also be a catalyst.