TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:24 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Bundesliga soccer match between Paderborn and Stuttgart. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The market will account for a clear win by either team or a tied result as defined by the match's official conclusion.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Paderborn vs Stuttgart professional Bundesliga soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Paderborn wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Paderborn' market resolves to Yes. If Stuttgart wins under the same conditions, the 'Stuttgart' market resolves to Yes. Should the match end in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event explicitly states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, driven by individual predictions, can sometimes offer different probabilities than those found at sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. Examining the difference between these odds can reveal insights into public perception and potential value bets.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Paderborn vs Stuttgart match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The final result will be publicly available following the conclusion of the match.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Paderborn or Stuttgart could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant pre-match commentary from sports analysts, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself could cause noticeable price fluctuations, reflecting shifts in market sentiment.