TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:32 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Bundesliga soccer match between Paderborn and Hamburg. Bettors can speculate on whether Paderborn, Hamburg, or a tied result will occur by the end of regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. The resolution depends strictly on the final score after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Paderborn vs Hamburg professional Bundesliga soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for the Paderborn market occurs if Paderborn wins the match within this timeframe. Similarly, a 'Yes' for Hamburg is triggered by a Hamburg victory. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes with an equal score. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. No outcomes consider results from extra time or penalty shootouts.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the collective beliefs of traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each market. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially leading to odds that diverge from initial sportsbook offerings.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Paderborn vs Hamburg match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the official result. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team tactics, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team formations or key player availability would likely cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, public perception and analysis from sports commentators can also influence trading activity. Major upsets in related matches or broader league standings could also indirectly affect the perceived probabilities and move this market.