TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:47 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks which team—the Packers or the Lions—will win their upcoming NFL football game on October 25th at 4:25PM ET. Currently, the Polymarket market gives a 99.0% probability to the Lions covering the 2H spread of -17.5. Resolution will be based on the official results reported at https://www.nfl.com/scores. Keep a close watch on the game itself on October 25th, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.
In the upcoming NFL football game between Packers and Lions, scheduled for October 25 at 4:25PM ET: This market will resolve to "Packers" if Packers win the game. This market will resolve to "Lions" if Lions win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, which can lead to odds that more accurately forecast the true probability of an event. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both markets. It’s worth comparing the probabilities implied by both to assess where the perceived value lies.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Packers-Lions game, as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. The market will then determine which outcome – a Packers win or a Lions win – is the accurate result. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. Key player injuries on either the Packers or the Lions would likely cause significant shifts in sentiment. Unexpected news regarding team strategies or coaching changes could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any major upsets in other NFL games that week might affect overall perceptions of team strength and influence the market. Public opinion, as reflected in polls and analyst predictions, could also play a role, though the market is ultimately driven by capital allocation rather than sentiment alone.