TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 9:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in the Canadian Premier League. The result is determined solely by the final score after the regulation 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The market accounts for potential game disruptions by allowing for fair resolution if the match is canceled or significantly rescheduled.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Pacific vs Ottawa professional Canadian Premier League soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for the Pacific market occurs if Pacific wins the match within regulation time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Ottawa market occurs if Ottawa wins the match within regulation time. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the match ends in a draw after regulation time. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. These rules ensure that the markets reflect the definitive result of the match as it concludes in standard playing time, with specific provisions for unusual scheduling changes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially diverging from sportsbook odds due to differing information or biases. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into how the public perceives the likelihood of various outcomes in the Pacific vs Ottawa game, and whether the market is identifying opportunities that sportsbooks may have missed.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the cost to purchase a contract that pays out if the outcome it represents comes to pass. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, leading to dynamic price fluctuations based on new information and evolving expectations for the Pacific vs Ottawa game.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pacific vs Ottawa game, as reported by a trusted source. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome satisfies the market conditions. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will not. The precise details of the outcome will be publicly available following resolution.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 12, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or coaching decisions could also cause price movements. Furthermore, large trades on Kalshi itself can create short-term volatility. Public perception, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, especially if it contradicts the prevailing market view on the Pacific vs Ottawa game.