TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 9:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Pachuca will win their professional Liga MX soccer game against Tigres. Currently, Kalshi gives Pachuca a 94.0% probability of winning, with a 5.0% probability assigned to a tie. The market resolves based on the result of the Pachuca vs Tigres game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official game outcome. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the final result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time will determine resolution by November 1, 2026, the estimated resolution date.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Pachuca vs Tigres professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026: Pachuca win, Tigres win, or a tie—all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Each market resolves to 'Yes' only if its specific condition is met: Pachuca wins for the Pachuca market, Tigres wins for the Tigres market, and a tied score for the Tie market. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price following predefined procedures. The event explicitly excludes any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, risk assessments, or simply varying opinions among bettors and prediction market participants. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes of the Pachuca vs Tigres match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. Traders are essentially betting against each other, and the market price converges towards a consensus forecast.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pachuca vs Tigres match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on this publicly available information. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities of each outcome. Unexpected announcements related to the teams or the league could also trigger shifts in market sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or a sudden influx of capital could also cause noticeable price movements in this market.