TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 8:18 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a professional soccer league. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. This scenario assesses the offensive capabilities of each team within the standard match duration.
If Pachuca and Necaxa both score a goal in the Pachuca vs Necaxa Liga MX match originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of both teams scoring, the odds on Kalshi may diverge. It's common to see prediction markets, like this one, offer insights that differ from initial sportsbook offerings, especially as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both Pachuca and Necaxa will score. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately reflecting the collective prediction of the market. The current price indicates the market’s assessment of the likelihood of a ‘Yes’ outcome—both teams scoring—in the Pachuca vs Necaxa match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Pachuca and Necaxa score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from a recognized sporting authority will be used to determine the final outcome. Traders who correctly predicted whether both teams would score will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Pachuca or Necaxa would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, potentially affecting the style of play, could also move the market. Even significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or fan discussions, can influence trading activity on Kalshi. Any information that alters the perceived likelihood of a high-scoring game could cause the price to fluctuate before the Oct 12, 2026 resolution.