TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 12:59 AM EST
Kalshi
The match between Pachuca and Cruz Azul will resolve multiple markets based on the total number of goals scored within the standard 90-minute regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout periods.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Pachuca vs Cruz Azul professional Liga MX soccer game scheduled for October 21, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are excluded from all calculations. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the total goals exceed the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5). The thresholds represent incremental goal totals, with each subsequent market requiring one additional goal to meet the condition.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, but may adjust less quickly to new information. This market, driven by traders actively buying and selling contracts, tends to incorporate news and sentiment more rapidly. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes sportsbooks are over or underestimating the probability of certain outcomes in the Pachuca vs Cruz Azul match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid to buy and offer to sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time estimate of the expected total goals scored in the Pachuca vs Cruz Azul game. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome is correct.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Pachuca vs Cruz Azul match will be used to determine which contracts payout. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total goals will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 22, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Pachuca or Cruz Azul would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain, could also affect the expected goal total. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts, or even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, could shift traders’ perceptions and cause the market to adjust. Unexpected team lineup announcements could also move this market.