TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Pacers vs. Magic
Volume:
$9,261,386
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers". If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market resolves YES for both Indiana and Orlando wins, creating a logical contradiction where every outcome resolves to YES. Polymarket correctly structures its markets with mutually exclusive outcomes (Pacers vs. Magic, spread thresholds, over/under totals). Kalshi's core moneyline is fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2) entirely—it will resolve YES regardless of game outcome, making it worthless for trading. Use Polymarket's moneyline (item 1 in Polymarket section) for standard winner-take-all exposure. All prop markets and spreads on both platforms are resolvable; the divergence is isolated to Kalshi's moneyline logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline states 'If Indiana wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Orlando wins...resolves to Yes,' creating a logical contradiction where both mutually exclusive outcomes trigger YES resolution. This makes the market unresolvable. Key quote: 'If Indiana wins the Indiana at Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Orlando wins the Indiana at Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting logic: Polymarket's moneyline correctly resolves to 'Pacers' if Pacers win and 'Magic' if Magic win, with mutually exclusive outcomes. All other Polymarket markets (spreads, totals, props) follow standard threshold-based or player stat resolution. Key quote: 'If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to Pacers. If the Magic win, the market will resolve to Magic.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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