This event group covers an NBA game between the Indiana Pacers and Los Angeles Lakers scheduled for March 6, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET. It includes 44 markets spanning moneyline, spreads, player prop overs/unders (points, rebounds, assists), team totals, and first-half variants across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi employ identical resolution logic: official NBA.com box scores as the authoritative source, consistent postponement handling (markets remain open), consistent cancellation protocol (50-50 split if no makeup game), and uniform player inactivity rules (player props resolve No).
Primary resolution logic:
Official NBA box score as published on NBA.com
Core resolution logic:
Moneyline (full game): Pacers win resolves to Pacers; Lakers win resolves to Lakers; tie resolves 50-50
Spread markets: Lakers spread resolves Lakers if margin meets or exceeds threshold (e.g., -10.5 requires 11+ point win); otherwise Pacers; ties resolve Pacers
Player prop points/rebounds/assists: Over resolves Yes if stat exceeds threshold (strictly greater than); At-or-below threshold resolves No; inactive players resolve No
Team totals (O/U): Over resolves if combined score meets or exceeds threshold plus 1 (e.g., 234.5 O/U resolves Over at 235+); Under resolves below
First-half markets: Determined by halftime score only; moneyline ties at halftime resolve 50-50; spreads require stated margin at halftime
Overtime: Included in all full-game markets; excluded from first-half markets
Postponement: All markets remain open until game completion
Cancellation (no makeup): All markets resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Player Inactivity: If a player is listed as inactive or does not take the court, all player prop markets for that player resolve No (not 50-50). This applies uniformly across points, rebounds, and assists props.
Halftime Tie: First-half moneyline resolves 50-50 if score is tied at halftime. First-half spreads resolve Pacers if Lakers do not meet the stated margin by halftime.
Full-Game Tie: Full-game moneyline resolves 50-50 if final score is tied (including overtime). Spread markets resolve Pacers if Lakers do not win by the required margin.
Postponement: If game is postponed, all markets remain open and do not resolve until the game is completed on a future date.
Cancellation Without Makeup: If game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 across all platforms.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after final official NBA box score is published on NBA.com following game completion (including any overtime). First-half markets resolve at halftime. Postponed games remain unresolved until completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.