TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: Game Spread
kalshi

Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: Game Spread

Volume:
$73,422

Felix Auger-Aliassime -3.5 games

 - Kalshi

Felix Auger-Aliassime -3.5 games - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 2:15 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Felix Auger-Aliassime -3.5 games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$64,590
N/A
N/A
$38,793
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Felix Auger-Aliassime -6.5 games

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,513
N/A
N/A
$6,752
Settled
No
kalshi

Pablo Carreno Busta -1.5 games

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$319
N/A
N/A
$278
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event tracks the performance difference between two tennis players over an entire match. Bettors can speculate on whether one player will win by a certain margin of games. The outcomes depend on the final score and how many more games one player wins compared to the other.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether Felix Auger-Aliassime or Pablo Carreno Busta achieves a specified game differential victory over the opponent in their professional tennis match at the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32. Three separate markets exist with varying thresholds: Auger-Aliassime must win by more than 6.5 games, Auger-Aliassime must win by more than 3.5 games, or Carreno Busta must win by more than 1.5 games for their respective markets to resolve as 'Yes.' If the match does not commence due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation before play begins, all markets resolve to a fair price. Postponements keep markets open until the rescheduled match concludes, with settlements occurring within two weeks. If a player retires during the match, markets can resolve based on completed play; unresolved markets settle at fair market value determined by the Exchange. The Exchange disclaims official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.